Africa’s hopes raised by Obama, but 2008 was a year to forget
Published 4:00 am Sunday, January 4, 2009
NAIROBI, Kenya — How bad was it for Africa in 2008? The highlight of the year for most of the continent just might’ve been the election of a half-Kenyan to lead a nation thousands of miles away.
President-elect Barack Obama’s triumph in the U.S. raised Africa’s hopes — no small feat in a year that saw rigged elections in Ken-ya and Zimbabwe, virtually no progress toward ending the mass suffering in Darfur, political and social upheaval in South Africa and — just when you thought some places had hit bottom — even more chaos and bloodshed in Congo and Somalia.
Throughout Africa, 2008 was a year to forget. For all the hope embodied in the arrival of a new year, and of Obama himself, however, 2009 brings no obvious solutions for any of Africa’s most intractable problems.
Asked what should be Obama’s and the world’s priorities for the continent in 2009, Francois Grignon, a veteran analyst and now Africa director for the International Crisis Group research agency, sighed. “The whole of Africa, really, remains at the top of the list,” he said.
The reversals are especially disheartening to Africans because the continent had been moving steadily, if unspectacularly, toward peace and stability during the past decade. Wars are on the wane, the African Union has asserted itself as a regional diplomatic and peacekeeping force, economies are growing and some countries can boast of a nascent middle class.
Experts, however, said 2008 was marked by missed chances to find durable solutions in the continent’s trouble spots.
It started in Kenya, where weeks of pressure from the U.S. and other nations following a disputed election forced President Mwai Kibaki to share power with his political opposition. The arrangement ended two months of ethnically driven violence in the once-stable nation.
Once world attention faded, however, the new government failed to bring anyone responsible for the attacks — including police officers and some political elites — to justice. Deep-seated grievances over land and economic inequities remained unresolved and are likely to boil over in the next election, if not earlier, Grignon said.
In Somalia, the headline-grabbing raids by offshore pirates and the less flashy — though no less noteworthy — gains of Islamist insurgents on land epitomized the total failure of a U.N.-backed interim government, despite the muscle of thousands of Ethiopian troops occupying the country.
In Congo, President Joseph Kabila — barely two years removed from the first free election in his country’s history — faced a formidable threat in Laurent Nkunda, a renegade army general whose well-trained guerrillas seized chunks of the mineral-rich east in September and October. The onslaught revived fears of a new, multinational war in central Africa.
It’s harder to find anything good to say about Zimbabwe. President Robert Mugabe, one of Africa’s longest-serving leaders, unleashed a campaign of devastating violence against political opponents to win re-election. He’s rejected worldwide calls for his resignation, while a cholera epidemic rages through his country.
The world had more leverage but was no more successful, in Sudan, where 2008 saw no movement toward a peace deal in the western Darfur region and no change in the miserable lives of nearly 3 million people living in refugee camps there. A U.N.-led peace process launched at the end of 2007 in Libya fell apart almost immediately, and the International Criminal Court’s decision to charge Sudanese President Omar al Bashir with genocide in Darfur seemed only to embolden Bashir, whose Arab and African allies soon came to his defense.